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Оценка Рисков Приостановки Деятельности Иностранных Компаний Для Экономики И Рынков Труда Регионов России

Author

Listed:
  • Dmitrii Yu. Zemlianskii

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration; Lomonosov Moscow State University)

  • Leonid V. Kalinovskii

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration)

  • Darina M. Medvednikova

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration; Lomonosov Moscow State University)

  • Valeriia A. Chuzhenkova

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration; Lomonosov Moscow State University)

Abstract

В статье проводится анализ возможных рисков и последствий приостановки и прекращения деятельности иностранных компаний в России для производственной активности и рынка труда российских регионов (на основе данных Росстата). Выявлено, что в случае, если 50% организаций с иностранной и совместной собственностью, присутствующих на территории РФ, приостановят свою деятельность, в 21 регионе число безработных может вырасти более чем в 1,5 раза. Месячный простой половины организаций с иностранной и совместной собственностью может привести к снижению годового оборота организаций на 3% и более также сразу в 21 субъекте РФ. Определен список регионов, подверженных наибольшему риску прекращения деятельности иностранных компаний, в их числе: г. Москва, Московская область, г. Санкт-Петербург, Ленинградская, Самарская, Нижегородская, Калужская, Владимирская, Костромская, Архангельская, Свердловская области, Краснодарский край и Республика Татарстан. Статья подготовлена в рамках выполнения научно-исследовательской работы государственного задания РАНХиГС при Президенте Российской Федерации.

Suggested Citation

  • Dmitrii Yu. Zemlianskii & Leonid V. Kalinovskii & Darina M. Medvednikova & Valeriia A. Chuzhenkova, 2022. "Оценка Рисков Приостановки Деятельности Иностранных Компаний Для Экономики И Рынков Труда Регионов России," Russian Economic Development (in Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 4, pages 4-14, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gai:ruserr:r2231
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. N. Zubarevich., 2015. "Regional Dimension of the New Russian Crisis," VOPROSY ECONOMIKI, N.P. Redaktsiya zhurnala "Voprosy Economiki", vol. 4.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    иностранные компании; иностранный капитал; экономические риски; региональное развитие; региональная экономика; рынок труда; санкции; недружественные страны; сценарная оценка;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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