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Хозяйственное Обозрение (Апрель-Июль 2021 Г.)

Author

Listed:
  • Aukutsionek Sergey

    (Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • Yegorov Andrey

    (Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • Bachirova Inessa

    (Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • Serzhantova Tatyana

    (Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

Апрель 2021 г. по многим показателям оказался очень похожим на март 2021 г., а значит, выглядел довольно оптимистично. Однако среди трехмесячных прогнозов были заметные «провалы». Так, диффузный индекс ожидаемых изменений финансового состояния снизился на 12 п.п. и составил 47%, а аналогичный индекс портфеля заказов потерял сразу 15 п.п. и составил 44%. При этом текущее положение с заказами оказалось настолько благоприятным, что их уровень относительно нормального месячного уровня, соответствующего 100%, достиг 94%, что стало максимумом за всю почти 30-летнюю историю наблюдений.

Suggested Citation

  • Aukutsionek Sergey & Yegorov Andrey & Bachirova Inessa & Serzhantova Tatyana, 2021. "Хозяйственное Обозрение (Апрель-Июль 2021 Г.)," Russian Economic Development (in Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 7, pages 24-31, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gai:ruserr:r2175
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Россия; промышленность; промышленные предприятия; уровень цен; заработная плата; занятость; производство; инвестиции; банковская задолженность; объем заказов; объем запасов готовой продукции; загрузка производственных мощностей; банкротство; экономическая политика; продолжительность кризиса;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • L23 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Organization of Production
    • P23 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Factor and Product Markets; Industry Studies; Population

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