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Keys to the White House: Forecast for 2008

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  • Allan Lichtman

Abstract

Lichtman explain his Keys model, which has successfully predicted (more than one year in advance) the popular vote winner of every presidential election from 1984-2004. He then applies the model to the 2008 presidential election. Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2005

Suggested Citation

  • Allan Lichtman, 2006. "Keys to the White House: Forecast for 2008," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 3, pages 5-9, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:for:ijafaa:y:2006:i:3:p:5-9
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    Cited by:

    1. Lichtman, Allan J., 2008. "The keys to the white house: An index forecast for 2008," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 301-309.
    2. Armstrong, J. Scott & Graefe, Andreas, 2011. "Predicting elections from biographical information about candidates: A test of the index method," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 64(7), pages 699-706, July.
    3. Cote, Joseph A., 2011. "Predicting elections from biographical information about candidates: A commentary essay," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 64(7), pages 696-698, July.

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