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The Return-Stages Valuation Model and the Expectations Within a Firm's P/B and P/E Ratios

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  • Morris Danielson
  • Thomas Dowdell

Abstract

The return-stages model can quantify the expectations facing a firm from its price-to-book (P/B) and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios. We illustrate two implications of the model. First, a firm’s P/B and P/E ratios can predict the future cash flow pattern earned by a firm. Second, the operating performance consistent with a given stock return differs across four groups of firms: Growth Firms, Mature Firms, Turnaround Firms, and Declining Firms. Our results imply that a firm’s stock return depends, in part, on how its operating performance compares to the expectations defined by its P/B and P/E ratios.

Suggested Citation

  • Morris Danielson & Thomas Dowdell, 2001. "The Return-Stages Valuation Model and the Expectations Within a Firm's P/B and P/E Ratios," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 30(2), Summer.
  • Handle: RePEc:fma:fmanag:danielson
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    Cited by:

    1. Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Yuan, Yuan & Chiang, Thomas & Nandha, Mohan, 2010. "Symmetric and asymmetric US sector return volatilities in presence of oil, financial and economic risks," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(8), pages 3922-3932, August.
    2. Manas Mayur, 2015. "Relationship between Price–Earnings Ratios and Stock Value in an Emerging Market," Paradigm, , vol. 19(1), pages 52-64, June.

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