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Is the Response of Analysts to Information Consistent with Fundamental Valuation? The Case of Intel

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  • Bradford Cornell

Abstract

This paper examines the market reaction to a press release issued by Intel on Thursday, September 21, 2000. In response to that release, Intel’s stock price dropped 30%, erasing over $120 billion of shareholder wealth. By analyzing the press release in conjunction with analyst reports, and by using a discounted cash flow valuation model, I argue that the information conveyed by the announcement was not sufficient to explain the stock price drop. Surprisingly, analysts were more strongly recommending purchase of the stock in August 2000 at $75 than in September 2000 at $40. This suggests a positive feedback between stock price movements and analyst recommendations that may increase the volatility of prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Bradford Cornell, 2001. "Is the Response of Analysts to Information Consistent with Fundamental Valuation? The Case of Intel," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 30(1), Spring.
  • Handle: RePEc:fma:fmanag:cornell01
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    Cited by:

    1. Coleman, Les, 2014. "Why finance theory fails to survive contact with the real world: A fund manager perspective," CRITICAL PERSPECTIVES ON ACCOUNTING, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 226-236.
    2. Tawatnuntachai, Oranee & Yaman, Devrim, 2007. "Do investors overreact to earnings warnings?," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 177-201.
    3. Chang, Chih-Hsiang & Chan, Kam C., 2011. "Investment banks' stock ratings, call warrant issuance, and responses from heterogeneous investors: Evidence from Taiwan," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 733-743, October.
    4. William Baker & Gregory Dumont, 2014. "Equity Analyst Recommendations: A Case for Affirmative Disclosure?," Journal of Consumer Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(1), pages 96-123, March.
    5. Weaver, Samuel C. & Weston, J. Fred, 2003. "A Unifying Theory of Value Based Management," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt0xw5m9mz, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    6. Ruei-Shian Wu & Hsiou-wei W. Lin, 2014. "Security analysts' incentive and cognitive processing bias: evidence from analysts' recommendations," Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting & Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(4), pages 443-471, December.
    7. Loh, Roger & Mian, G. Mujtaba, 2005. "Do Accurate Earnings Forecasts Facilitate Superior Investment Recommendations?," Working Paper Series 2004-17, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
    8. Sherrill Shaffer, 2008. "Earnings Valuation And Sources Of Growth," CAMA Working Papers 2008-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    9. Oranee Tawatnuntachai & Devrim Yaman, 2007. "Do investors overreact to earnings warnings?," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 16(2), pages 177-201.
    10. Conrad, Jennifer S & Cornell, Brad & Landsman, Wayne R. & Rountree, Brian, 2004. "How do Analyst Recommendations Respond to Major News?," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt9vx341wh, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
    11. Loh, Roger K. & Mian, G. Mujtaba, 2006. "Do accurate earnings forecasts facilitate superior investment recommendations?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(2), pages 455-483, May.

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