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What Survey Measures of Inflation Expectations Tell Us

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Abstract

Throughout this period of high inflation, people have wondered when inflation will return to the FOMC's longer-run target of 2 percent. Many models and surveys on inflation expectations exist to help answer this question. In this Economic Brief, we explore the accuracy of these measures of inflation expectations and what information can be obtained from them. While we find these popular sources of inflation are historically inaccurate, they can still gather valuable information, such as people's confidence in the ability of the Fed to get inflation back to target.

Suggested Citation

  • Erin Henry & Conner Mulloy & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte, 2023. "What Survey Measures of Inflation Expectations Tell Us," Richmond Fed Economic Brief, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 23(03), January.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedreb:95487
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    File URL: https://www.richmondfed.org/publications/research/economic_brief/2023/eb_23-03
    File Function: Briefing
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    Keywords

    Inflation; Economic surveys;

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