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An application of conventional sovereign debt sustainability analysis to the current debt crises

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  • Silvio Contessi

Abstract

The developing international debt crisis has unleashed unanticipated fears that governments in some advanced economies may default on their sovereign debt and trigger a global financial tsunami. This article provides a primer on sovereign debt sustainability and interprets the recent experience of advanced economies in the light of a uniform approach that allows an answer to this question: What are the main factors that contribute to make a country?s debt sustainable or unsustainable?

Suggested Citation

  • Silvio Contessi, 2012. "An application of conventional sovereign debt sustainability analysis to the current debt crises," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 94(May), pages 197-220.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedlrv:y:2012:i:may:p:197-220:n:v.94no.3
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    Cited by:

    1. Silvio Contessi & Li Li, 2014. "Debt crisis in Europe is easing, but stability remains a long way off," The Regional Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, April.
    2. Gunn, Christopher M. & Johri, Alok, 2018. "Financial News, Banks, And Business Cycles," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(2), pages 173-198, March.
    3. Bryan J. Noeth & Rajdeep Sengupta, 2012. "Global European banks and the financial crisis," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Nov, pages 457-480.
    4. Tielens, J. & van Aarle, B. & Van Hove, J., 2014. "Effects of Eurobonds: A stochastic sovereign debt sustainability analysis for Portugal, Ireland and Greece," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 156-173.
    5. Mthuli Ncube & Zuzana Brixiová, 2015. "Public Debt Sustainability in Africa: Building Resilience and Challenges Ahead," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 33(5), pages 555-580, September.
    6. Beenash Malik & M. Ali Kemal, 2018. "Measuring the Sufficient Debt Sustainability Condition in Pakistan," PIDE-Working Papers 2018:156, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    7. Sayantan Ghosal & Dania Thomas, 2020. "Sustainable Debt Restructuring in the time of Covid 19: Investment and Non-Elite Participation," Working Papers 2020_17, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    8. Christopher M. Gunn & Alok Johri, 2013. "Fear of Sovereign Default, Banks, and Expectations-driven Business Cycles," Department of Economics Working Papers 2013-08, McMaster University.
    9. Hans-Jörg Naumer, 2020. "Schuldentragfähigkeit in der Eurozone bei niedrigen bzw. negativen Zinsen [Debt Sustainability in the Euro Area When Interest Rates Are Low or Negative]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 100(9), pages 682-686, September.
    10. Mthuli Ncube & Zuzana Brixiova, 2015. "Working Paper 227 - Public Debt Sustainability in Africa: Building Resilience and Challenges Ahead," Working Paper Series 2170, African Development Bank.

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    Debt; Financial crises;

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