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Best guesses and surprises

Author

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  • William Poole

Abstract

This article was originally presented as a speech at the Charlotte Economics Club, Charlotte, North Carolina, February 25, 2004.

Suggested Citation

  • William Poole, 2004. "Best guesses and surprises," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 86(May), pages 1-8.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedlrv:y:2004:i:may:p:1-8:n:v.86no.3
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    File URL: https://files.stlouisfed.org/files/htdocs/publications/review/04/05/Poole.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Andreas Fischer & Marlene Amstad, 2004. "Sequential Information Flow and Real-Time Diagnosis of Swiss Inflation: Intra-Monthly DCF Estimates for a Low-Inflation Environment," Working Papers 04.06, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
    2. Marlene Amstad & Andreas M. Fischer, 2005. "Shock identification of macroeconomic forecasts based on daily panels," Staff Reports 206, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    3. Baghestani, Hamid, 2008. "Federal Reserve versus private information: Who is the best unemployment rate predictor," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 101-110.
    4. Yakov Ben-Haim & Maria Demertzis, 2008. "Confidence in Monetary Policy," DNB Working Papers 192, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.

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    Keywords

    Forecasting; Monetary policy;

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