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The Chicago Fed National Activity Index and business cycles

Author

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  • Scott Brave

Abstract

This article discusses how the Chicago Fed National Activity Index?a monthly index designed to gauge economic activity and related inflationary pressures?can be used as an indicator of business cycle turning points.

Suggested Citation

  • Scott Brave, 2009. "The Chicago Fed National Activity Index and business cycles," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue Nov.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhle:y:2009:i:nov:n:268
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    File URL: http://www.chicagofed.org/digital_assets/publications/chicago_fed_letter/2009/cflnovember2009_268.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Leopoldo Catania & Alessandra Luati & Pierluigi Vallarino, 2021. "Economic vulnerability is state dependent," CREATES Research Papers 2021-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    2. Nicolas Caramp & Sanjay R Singh, 2023. "Bond Premium Cyclicality and Liquidity Traps," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 90(6), pages 2822-2879.
    3. Chava, Sudheer & Hsu, Alex & Zeng, Linghang, 2020. "Does history repeat itself? Business cycle and industry returns," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 201-218.
    4. Nicholas Taylor, 2014. "Economic forecast quality: information timeliness and data vintage effects," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 145-174, February.
    5. David Lang & Kevin J. Lansing, 2010. "Forecasting growth over the next year with a business cycle index," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue sep27.
    6. Heinrich, Markus, 2020. "Does the Current State of the Business Cycle matter for Real-Time Forecasting? A Mixed-Frequency Threshold VAR approach," EconStor Preprints 219312, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    7. Saleh Mothana Obadi & Kristina Gardonova, 2019. "How does the Production of Unconventional Resources of Energy Influence Energy Security: Empirical Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(5), pages 46-54.
    8. Conefrey, Thomas & Walsh, Graeme, 2018. "A Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for Ireland," Economic Letters 14/EL/18, Central Bank of Ireland.
    9. Lai, Van Son & Ye, Xiaoxia & Zhao, Lu, 2019. "Are market views on banking industry useful for forecasting economic growth?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).

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