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Impact of U.S. Labor Productivity Losses from Extreme Heat

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Abstract

Extreme heat decreases labor productivity in sectors like construction, where much work occurs outdoors. Because construction is an important component of investment, lost productivity today will slow how much capital is built up for future use and thus can have long-lasting impacts on overall economic outcomes. Combining estimates of lost labor productivity due to extreme heat with a model of economic growth suggests that, by the year 2200, extreme heat will reduce the U.S. capital stock by 5.4% and annual consumption by 1.8%.

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  • Gregory Casey & Stephie Fried & Matthew Gibson, 2024. "Impact of U.S. Labor Productivity Losses from Extreme Heat," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2024(14), May.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:98298
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