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COVID-19 Fiscal Expansion and Inflation Expectations in Japan

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  • Jens H. E. Christensen
  • Mark M. Spiegel

Abstract

The Japanese government’s strong response to the economic fallout from COVID-19 presents an opportunity to examine whether expansionary fiscal policies raise long-term inflation expectations. Analyzing market-based estimates of long-term inflation expectations in Japan shows that announcements of government fiscal stimulus under COVID-19 had no meaningful impact on investors’ long-term inflation expectations. This illustrates the challenge of moving long-term expectations after they become anchored below a central bank’s inflation target, as they have been in Japan.

Suggested Citation

  • Jens H. E. Christensen & Mark M. Spiegel, 2022. "COVID-19 Fiscal Expansion and Inflation Expectations in Japan," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2022(20), pages 1-5, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:94546
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    References listed on IDEAS

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