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Considerable period of time: the case of signaling future policy

Author

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  • Charles T. Carlstrom
  • Timothy S. Fuerst

Abstract

There has been a remarkable increase in the FOMC?s communication over the last decade. Perhaps the most dramatic change was the inclusion of language indicating the possible direction of future policy. One example is the now famous ?considerable-period? language that was inserted in August 2003. This forward-looking language was remarkable in that it seemingly signaled the Committee?s intention to keep rates low for an extended period. This Commentary analyzes the reasons behind the ?considerable-period-of-time? language, and it argues that such language was important to stem further declines in inflation since the funds rate was already close to its lower bound of zero.

Suggested Citation

  • Charles T. Carlstrom & Timothy S. Fuerst, 2005. "Considerable period of time: the case of signaling future policy," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue Nov.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedcec:y:2005:i:nov
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. W. Douglas McMillin & James S. Fackler, 2006. "Estimating the Inflation-Output Variability Frontier with Inflation Targeting: A VAR Approach," Departmental Working Papers 2006-17, Department of Economics, Louisiana State University.
    2. Bordo, Michael D. & Duca, John V., 2022. "How new Fed corporate bond programs cushioned the Covid-19 recession," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    3. James S. Fackler & W. Douglas McMillin, 2011. "Inflation Forecast Targeting: An Alternative Approach to Estimating the Inflation‐Output Variability Tradeoff," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 78(2), pages 424-451, October.

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