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A Note on the Brazilian cross-state debt connectedness

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  • Matos, Paulo Rogério Faustino
  • Pinheiro Jr, Raimundo
  • Costa, Antonio

Abstract

We address the cross-state indebtedness (DCL/RCL) variation connectedness using 89 bimonthly data from 2006b6 to 2021b4, based on the indices proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2009, 2012, 2014). This framework enables us to infer about the direction, and the strength of bilateral spillovers for a large number of simultaneously interacting variables in a clear and compact manner. We are able to identify the most influential states in each region, as well as the region with the highest total connectedness. This empirical exercise allows us to discuss the possible influence between state governments in conducting public policies associated with indebtedness. The results help us to better understand the consequences of total and directional indebtedness spillover across states in Brazil.

Suggested Citation

  • Matos, Paulo Rogério Faustino & Pinheiro Jr, Raimundo & Costa, Antonio, 2023. "A Note on the Brazilian cross-state debt connectedness," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 76(3), February.
    • Handle: RePEc:fgv:epgrbe:v:76:y:2023:i:3:a:84937
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Binh Thai Pham & Hector Sala, 2022. "Cross-country connectedness in inflation and unemployment: measurement and macroeconomic consequences," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1123-1146, March.
    2. Karkowska, Renata & Urjasz, Szczepan, 2021. "Connectedness structures of sovereign bond markets in Central and Eastern Europe," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
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