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Forecasting the Main Tax Revenues in the Czech Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Vladimír Bezdìk
  • Vladimír Stiller

Abstract

This article deals with the forecasting of the main tax revenues in the Czech economy. The authors analyze the relationship between taxes (value added, excise, corporate income, personal income, and social-security contributions) and selected macroeconomic variables (especially, GDP and wage growth). Several linear regression models are presented. They tend to be viable and suitable for the short-term estimation of tax revenues conditional to no structural changes in the fiscal framework. The authors, in emphasizing the difficulties associated with the predictability of budget resources, shed light upon the fiscal processes in the Czech economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Vladimír Bezdìk & Vladimír Stiller, 2000. "Forecasting the Main Tax Revenues in the Czech Economy," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 50(2), pages 66-77, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:fau:fauart:v:50:y:2000:i:2:p:66-77
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    File URL: http://journal.fsv.cuni.cz/mag/article/show/id/137
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    public finance; taxes;

    JEL classification:

    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue

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