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Theoretical and Applied Aspects of Measuring the Economic Growth Potential of Russian Regions

Author

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  • Nikita Alexandrovich Burakov

    (Institute of Economics of the RAS)

  • Alexander Yakovlevich Rubinstein

    (Institute of Economics of the RAS)

Abstract

The paper presents a new direction in methodology of modeling the potentials of regional economic growth developed by the authors in their previous studies. The proposed approach is based on decomposition of the extended production function in the Mankiw – Romer – Weil model and measuring statistically unobserved composition factors characterizing innovative, investment and human potential of regional development. This model enables defining the weight vectors of initial indicators for different groups of spatial entities. Detected weights of statistically observed indicators are the basis for structural analysis of economic growth specifics in different regions. Multiway Data Analysis is the basic method to define these potentials quantitatively. Based on this method of multivariate analysis with statistically observed indicators describing various components of regional economic growth in the period from 2001 to 2015, obtained were estimates of each of the three specified potentials per year per Russian Federation constituent member under consideration. The dynamic analysis in form of such calculations assists in comparing the potentials in individual regions. The information gained also helps in the dynamic analysis of different potentials within regions concerning cities numbering over a million inhabitants. A detailed retrospective study of the regional growth made it possible to carry out an integrated analysis and form identical groups thereafter. The time series obtained can serve as statistical tools for determining the contribution of the three composition factors of growth to each constituent member of the Russian Federation through repeated application of Multiway Data Analysis already to these factors. By way of such calculation the aggregate potential of economic growth for the group of the regions under consideration can be formed

Suggested Citation

  • Nikita Alexandrovich Burakov & Alexander Yakovlevich Rubinstein, 2020. "Theoretical and Applied Aspects of Measuring the Economic Growth Potential of Russian Regions," Spatial Economics=Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika, Economic Research Institute, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences (Khabarovsk, Russia), issue 1, pages 24-50.
    • Handle: RePEc:far:spaeco:y:2020:i:1:p:24-50
    DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.14530/se.2020.1.024-050
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Romer, Paul M, 1986. "Increasing Returns and Long-run Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(5), pages 1002-1037, October.
    2. Natalia Zubarevich, 2009. "Regional Development and Regional Policy in Russia During Ten Years of Economic Growth," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, issue 1-2, pages 161-174.
    3. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    4. World Bank, 2011. "Russia : Reshaping Economic Geography," World Bank Publications - Reports 13052, The World Bank Group.
    5. Rubinstein, Alexander & Slutskin, Lev, 2018. "«Multiway data analysis» and the general problem of journals’ ranking," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 50, pages 90-113.
    6. David Cass, 1965. "Optimum Growth in an Aggregative Model of Capital Accumulation," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 32(3), pages 233-240.
    7. Krugman, Paul, 1991. "Increasing Returns and Economic Geography," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(3), pages 483-499, June.
    8. O. Kuznetsova., 2013. "Pyramid of Factors of Regional Socio-Economic Development," VOPROSY ECONOMIKI, N.P. Redaktsiya zhurnala "Voprosy Economiki", vol. 2.
    9. Sergey Sinelnikov-Murylev & Sergey Drobyshevsky & Maria Kazakova & Michael Alexeev, 2016. "Decomposition of Russia's GDP Growth Rates," Research Paper Series, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 167P, pages 123-123.
    10. Oleg Lugovoy & Vladimir V. Dashkeyev & Ilya Mazaev & Denis Fomchenko & Albert Hecht, 2007. "Analysis of Economic Growth in Regions: Geographical and Institutional Aspect," Published Papers 5, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2007.
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    12. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1988. "On the mechanics of economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-42, July.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    theory; methodology; economic growth potentials; production function; decompo-sition; Multiway Data Analysis; MW-analysis; RF constituent members; region;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

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