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Dünya Enerji Tüketimi: 1980–2005 Döneminde Enerji Tüketimindeki Değişim

Author

Listed:
  • Hakan ÇERMİKLİ

    (Gazi University)

  • Harun ÖZTÜRKLER

    (Afyon Kocatepe University)

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, nüfusun kent/kırsal yapısında, ekonominin sektör yapısında ve kişi başına gelirde meydana gelen değişmelere göre kişi başına enerji tüketiminin nasıl bir seyir izlediği incelenmeye çalışılmıştır. Açıklayıcı değişkenler ile enerji tüketimi arasındaki ilişki, tek değişkenli regresyon modelleri çerçevesinde ele alınmıştır. Modellerin tahmin edilmesinde, ikinci dereceden, kübik ve üst model olmak üzere üç farklı istatistiksel form kullanılmıştır. Tahmin edilen modeller açıklayıcı değişkenler ile enerji tüketimi arasındaki ilişkilerin birbirinden farklı olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır. Toplam nüfusun kentte yaşayan kısmında meydana gelen artış kişi başına enerji tüketimini sürekli olarak artırırken, hizmetler kesiminin GSYH içindeki payında meydana gelen artış belli bir orana kadar enerji tüketimini azaltmakta ve daha sonra artırmaktadır. Kişi başına gelir seviyesi ise farklı gelir seviyelerinde etkisi farklı olmakla beraber, sürekli enerji tüketimini artırmaktadır.

Suggested Citation

  • Hakan ÇERMİKLİ & Harun ÖZTÜRKLER, 2010. "Dünya Enerji Tüketimi: 1980–2005 Döneminde Enerji Tüketimindeki Değişim," Ekonomik Yaklasim, Ekonomik Yaklasim Association, vol. 21(74), pages 1-22.
  • Handle: RePEc:eyd:eyjrnl:v:21:y:2010:i:74:p:1-22
    DOI: 10.5455/ey.10698
    Note: [English Title] THE WORLD ENERGY CONSUMPTION: CHANGING IN ENERGY CONSUMPTION IN 1980–2005 PERIOD [English Abstract] This study examines how per capita energy consumption changes with respect to changes in population’s urban/rural structure, economy’s sectoral structure, and per capita income. The relationship between explanatory variables and energy consumption is formulized as single regression models.In estimations of the models, three different forms, namely second order,cubic, and exponential, are utilized. Estimation findings reveal that the relationships of explanatory variables with energy consumption are different from each other. While increase in the share of urban population raises energy consumption continuously, increase in the share of services in GDP initially reduces, and then increases energy consumption. At different levels, per capita income has different effects on energy consumption, but increases in per capita income raise energy consumption continuously. [English Keywords] Energy Consumption, Per Capita Income, Population,Economy’s Sectoral Structure
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