IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eyd/eyjrnl/v17y2006i60p93-110.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Türkiye'de İhracat, İthalat Ve Ekonomik Büyüme Arasındaki İlişkilerin Zaman Serisi Analizi

Author

Listed:
  • Mustafa ÖZER

    (Anadolu University)

  • Levent ERDOĞAN

    (Anadolu University)

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, 1987-2006 yılları arasında Türkiye'de reel ekonomik büyüme, ithalat ve ihracat arasındaki nedensel ilişkilerin gücünün yanısıra yapısı da araştırılmaya çalışılmıştır. Özellikle de ekonomik büyüme-ihracat arasındaki nedensellik incelenirken ithalat değişkeninin rolü üzerinde durulmuştur. Granger nedensellik test sonuçları ele alınan değişkenler arasında tek yönlü bir nedensellik olduğunu, yani ihracattan ekonomik büyüme ve ithalata ve ithalattan ekonomik büyümeye doğru bir nedensellik ilişkisini desteklemektedir. Üstelik, Etki-Tepki ve Varyans Ayrıştırma fonksiyonları bu sonucu desteklemekte ve böylece ele alınan dönemde Türkiye'de ihracat öncelikli büyüme hipotezinin geçerli olduğunu göstermektedir.

Suggested Citation

  • Mustafa ÖZER & Levent ERDOĞAN, 2006. "Türkiye'de İhracat, İthalat Ve Ekonomik Büyüme Arasındaki İlişkilerin Zaman Serisi Analizi," Ekonomik Yaklasim, Ekonomik Yaklasim Association, vol. 17(60-61), pages 93-110.
    • Handle: RePEc:eyd:eyjrnl:v:17:y:2006:i:60:p:93-110
    DOI: 10.5455/ey.10619
    Note: [English Title] A Time Series Analysis of Export, lmport and Economic Growth Relations in Turkey [English Abstract] In this paper, not only the nature but also the strength of the causal relationshıip among real exports, imports, and economic growth in Turkey over the period of 1987-2006 is investigated. Particularly the role of import variable in the investigating of economic growth-export causality is emphasized. The Granger causality tests results confirm that there is unidirectional causality between variables considered, mainly running from export to economic growth and import and import to economic growth. Moreover, IRFs and VDCs support this result therefore allows to conclude that export led growth hypothesis is supported by the Turkish data over the period. [English Keywords] Export-led Growth, Economic Growth, lmport, Granger Causality, VAR Analysis
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.5455/ey.10619
    Download Restriction: No restriction for articles.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.5455/ey.10619?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eyd:eyjrnl:v:17:y:2006:i:60:p:93-110. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ozan Eruygur (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.ekonomikyaklasim.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.