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Los precios del petróleo y la actividad económica en México.(Oil Prices and Economic Activity in Mexico)

Author

Listed:
  • Antonio Ruiz-Porras.

    (Universidad de Guadalajara, México.)

  • Javier Emmanuel Anguiano-Pita.

    (Universidad de Guadalajara, México.)

Abstract

Estudiamosla interdependencia entre los precios del petróleo y la actividad económica, en México, usando un análisis de spillovers estáticos y dinámicos en los dominios del tiempo y de la frecuencia. Los principales hallazgos muestran, que: 1) Las relaciones entre los precios del petróleo y la actividad económica han fluctuado en el tiempo; 2) las variaciones de los precios del petróleo tienen efectos de corto plazo y sus volatilidades, efectos de largo plazo sobre la actividad económica; 3) los precios del petróleoMAYA tienen las mayores interdependencias con la actividad económica; 4) los spillovers netos más altos entre los precios del petróleo y la actividad económica ocurrieron entre abril de 2009 y junio de 2012. El estudio usa series de variaciones y volatilidades mensuales de los precios spot del petróleo MAYA, WTI y Brent y del indicador IGAE, del período de febrero de 1993 a diciembre de 2019.

Suggested Citation

  • Antonio Ruiz-Porras. & Javier Emmanuel Anguiano-Pita., 2021. "Los precios del petróleo y la actividad económica en México.(Oil Prices and Economic Activity in Mexico)," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(2), pages 159-188, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:xl:y:2021:i:2:p:159-188
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Petróleo; Actividad económica; Spillovers; Cambio estructural endógeno; México;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q32 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General

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