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Representative bubbles and deleveraging

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  • Francesco Strati

Abstract

Purpose - The causes for the formation of a bubble in the collateral market when agents are provided with homogeneous expectations are explored. This bubbly dynamics will define a sufficient condition for deleveraging. Design/methodology/approach - Theoretical approach with neutral deleveraging. Findings - Findings of the study are defined sufficient conditions for a behavioral rational bubble's formation in a market of collateral and the subsequent deleveraging. The crowd-in effect of the representative bubble is caused by errors in extrapolating information and thus by representativeness, while the crowd-out effect of deleveraging is set off by reverting to a rational heuristic. Research limitations/implications - The limit is that it is a homogeneous expectations approach, the implication is that cannot be rational speculation. Practical implications - Even in a simple model of homogeneous expectations a bubble may arise with serious effect on the demand side: models that detect just rational mispricings cannot account for behavioral components that have financial and real effects. Originality/value - The paper defines how deleveraging may occur even in case of homogeneous expectations. The latter should not be seen just as a limit but also as a signal of the importance of being aware of behavioral components.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesco Strati, 2020. "Representative bubbles and deleveraging," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(5), pages 502-521, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:rbfpps:rbf-03-2020-0053
    DOI: 10.1108/RBF-03-2020-0053
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bubbles; Collateral constraints; Financial crisis; Deleveraging; Diagnostic expectations; Stereotypes; D84; E44; E71; G4;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E71 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on the Macro Economy
    • G4 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance

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