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How dark is the dark side of diversification?

Author

Listed:
  • Pedro E. Cadenas
  • Henryk Gzyl
  • Hyun Woong Park

Abstract

Purpose - This paper aims to illustrate, within the context of a well-known linear diversification model, that risk management as exerted by banks and regulators ultimately depends on how risk is assessed and conceptualized. The two risk metrics used are the probability of bank failure and value at risk (VaR). The paper also extends the results of the model by incorporating an explicit analysis of correlation of the bank's portfolios. Design/methodology/approach - The paper is based on a well-known model of linear diversification of two banking institutions developed by Wagner (2010) in the Journal of Financial Intermediation. The authors added considerations that were unexplored by Wagner and derived the corresponding logical and practical implications. Findings - The authors found that depending on which of the two risk metrics being used, the way diversification is perceived and risk is managed may differ. This situation may very well end-up generating different incentives for banks and regulators. The authors suggest a general rationale for considering how to think about the apparent dilemma and the challenges faced by regulators. The authors also offer an explicit analysis of correlation for the bank's portfolios. Research limitations/implications - The results are dependent on the particular aspects of the model, so the research results may lack generality in other contexts. Practical implications - Despite the limitations already mentioned, the paper illustrates some relevant points within the open debate about risk measurement and diversification. Originality/value - This paper contributes to the open discussion of diversification, risk perception and systemic crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Pedro E. Cadenas & Henryk Gzyl & Hyun Woong Park, 2021. "How dark is the dark side of diversification?," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 22(1), pages 44-55, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:jrfpps:jrf-07-2020-0161
    DOI: 10.1108/JRF-07-2020-0161
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pérignon, Christophe & Deng, Zi Yin & Wang, Zhi Jun, 2008. "Do banks overstate their Value-at-Risk?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 783-794, May.
    2. Tobias Adrian & Hyun Song Shin, 2014. "Procyclical Leverage and Value-at-Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(2), pages 373-403.
    3. Rossignolo, Adrian F. & Fethi, Meryem Duygun & Shaban, Mohamed, 2012. "Value-at-Risk models and Basel capital charges," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 303-319.
    4. Wagner, Wolf, 2010. "Diversification at financial institutions and systemic crises," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 373-386, July.
    5. Tran, Vuong Thao & Lin, Chien-Ting & Nguyen, Hoa, 2016. "Liquidity creation, regulatory capital, and bank profitability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 98-109.
    6. Blum, Jurg, 1999. "Do capital adequacy requirements reduce risks in banking?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(5), pages 755-771, May.
    7. van Oordt, Maarten R.C., 2014. "Securitization and the dark side of diversification," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 214-231.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pedro Cadenas & Henryk Gzyl, 2021. "Diversification Can Control Probability of Default or Risk, but Not Both," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-10, February.
    2. Chen, Zhonglu & Umar, Muhammad & Su, Chi-Wei & Mirza, Nawazish, 2023. "Renewable energy, credit portfolios and intermediation spread: Evidence from the banking sector in BRICS," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 561-566.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Diversification; Systemic crisis; Value at risk; Capital requirements; Risk measure; G21; G28;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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