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Does political risk deter FDI inflow?

Author

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  • Gour Gobinda Goswami
  • Samai Haider

Abstract

Purpose - – In today's increasingly globalized world, foreign direct investment (FDI) is a hotbed for discussion. Numerous studies have been undertaken regarding FDI, its determinants and benefits, but very few works provide importance to the effect of political risk on the inflow of FDI. Some papers introduce institutional or governance issues in determining FDI inflow, but a comprehensive framework in this respect is non-existent. With this end in view, the authors take 146 countries worldwide over a period of 1984-2009 and then classify countries as OECD or non-OECD members to see whether there is any difference in the nature of the effect. The study keeps other possible determinants of FDI – market size, growth rate of real GDP, trade openness, infrastructural facilities as control variables while considering the effect of underlying political risk factors in deterring the FDI. Design/methodology/approach - – This paper looks at the effect of political risk on FDI by using a systematic approach of factor analysis, in reducing the number of variables into their underlying factors and then generating factor scores. Then it uses a panel regression approach combined with factor analysis to examine which particular aspect of political risk contributes more towards deterring FDI inflow. Findings - – The empirical results of this study refute the conventional notion that government failure is the primary contributing factor for poor FDI inflow. Rather, cultural conflict and the attitude of the partner country towards the host country are found to be mostly responsible for deterring FDI inflow. The result holds significantly even after controlling for traditional determinants regardless of whether it is an OECD member country or not. Practical implications - – It is not just governance failure but the cultural factors and development partners' attitude about the country which mostly determines FDI inflow. Originality/value - – This is the first paper which combines the factor analysis in a panel regression framework to examine the impact of political risk on FDI inflow.

Suggested Citation

  • Gour Gobinda Goswami & Samai Haider, 2014. "Does political risk deter FDI inflow?," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 41(2), pages 233-252, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:jespps:v:41:y:2014:i:2:p:233-252
    DOI: 10.1108/JES-03-2012-0041
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Rodion Skovoroda & Shaun Goldfinch & Karl DeRouen & Trevor Buck, 2019. "The Attraction of FDI to Conflicted States: The Counter-Intuitive Case of US Oil and Gas," Management International Review, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 229-251, April.
    2. Rungmaitree, Pattamon & Boateng, Agyenim & Ahiabor, Frederick & Lu, Qinye, 2022. "Political risk, hedge fund strategies, and returns: Evidence from G7 countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    3. Niti Bhasin & Shilpa Garg, 2018. "Does Host Country Institutional Quality Act as a Differentiator in Intra-regional FDI? Evidence from Selected Asian Economies," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 53(2), pages 81-97, May.
    4. J. Muzurura, 2019. "Foreign Direct Investment in Zimbabwe: The Role of Uncertainty, Exports, Cost of Capital, Corruption and Market Size," The Economics and Finance Letters, Conscientia Beam, vol. 6(1), pages 9-24.
    5. Eric M. Bosire, 2019. "Foreign Direct Investments into Eastern Africa Region: The Governance Paradox," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(1), pages 169-182.
    6. Yang, Ruicheng & Xing, Weize & Hou, Shuxia, 2020. "Evaluating the risk factors influencing foreign direct investment in Mongolia's mining sector: A complex network approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    7. Metaxas, Theodore & Kechagia, Polyxeni, 2016. "Literature review of 100 empirical studies of Foreign Direct Investment: 1950-2015," MPRA Paper 71414, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Abdel-Latif, Hany, 2019. "FDI response to political shocks: What can the Arab Spring tell us?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    9. Federico Carril-Caccia & Juliette Milgram Baleix & Jordi Paniagua, 2019. "Does Terrorism Affect Foreign Direct Investment?," Working Papers 1913, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
    10. Niti Bhasin & Shilpa Garg, 2020. "Impact of Institutional Environment on Inward FDI: A Case of Select Emerging Market Economies," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 21(5), pages 1279-1301, October.
    11. Polyxeni, Kechagia & Theodore, Metaxas, 2019. "An empirical investigation of FDI inflows in developing economies: Terrorism as a determinant factor," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).

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