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Portfolio diversification impact of oil and asymmetric interaction between oil, equity and bonds in the global market: fresh evidence from alternative approaches

Author

Listed:
  • Abdulnasser Hatemi-J
  • Eduardo Roca
  • Alan Mustafa

Abstract

Purpose - In addition to the seminal approach of Markowitz (1952) that is based on finding the optimal budget shares for minimizing risk, the authors also make use of the approach developed by Hatemi-J and El-Khatib (2015), which is built on finding the weights as budget shares for maximizing the risk-adjusted return of the underlying portfolio. For testing the stability of the portfolio benefits, the asymmetric interaction between oil, equity and bonds is tested. Design/methodology/approach - Oil is a major investment commodity. The literature shows mixed results regarding oils' ability to provide diversification benefits. This paper re-examines this issue by applying a new portfolio optimization approach. Findings - The authors find that oil still yields portfolio diversification benefits; contrary to the traditional Markowitz portfolio approach, the asymmetric causality test results show that oil does not cause bonds for either positive or negative changes; however, oil does cause stocks but only for stocks' negative changes. Hence, oil can still make the returns of a portfolio of stocks and bonds unstable through oil's effect on stocks. Originality/value - This is the first attempt to investigate the potential portfolio diversification benefits of stocks, bonds and oil by using the combination of risk and return explicitly in the optimization problem. The new insights provided by this article might be valuable to the investors, financial institutions and policy makers.

Suggested Citation

  • Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Eduardo Roca & Alan Mustafa, 2022. "Portfolio diversification impact of oil and asymmetric interaction between oil, equity and bonds in the global market: fresh evidence from alternative approaches," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 50(4), pages 790-805, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:jespps:jes-04-2022-0214
    DOI: 10.1108/JES-04-2022-0214
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ma, Yilin & Wang, Yudong & Wang, Weizhong & Zhang, Chong, 2023. "Portfolios with return and volatility prediction for the energy stock market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 270(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Portfolio diversification; Oil; World equity; Bonds; Asymmetric causality; G10; G12; C6; C32;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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