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Strengthening the stability of exports through GVC participation

Author

Listed:
  • Carmen Díaz-Mora
  • Rosario Gandoy
  • Belen Gonzalez-Diaz

Abstract

Purpose - Drawing on the literature that has shown the prevalence of short-lived trade relationships, the purpose of this paper is to provide further understanding about this issue by exploring the impact of engaging in Global Value Chains (GVCs) on the chance of export survival at product-country level, paying special attention to the differences between advanced and developing countries. The authors also investigate whether the type of GVC participation (backward or forward) matters for export survival. Design/methodology/approach - To capture to what extent a country’s exports are integrated in GVCs, the authors use the OECD Inter-Country Input-Output database to estimate value added incorporated in exports. Through the estimation of a discrete-time duration model, the authors explore the impact of engaging in GVCs on export survival using highly disaggregated trade data from the CEPII’s BACI database. Findings - The findings endorse the hypothesis that deeper participation in GVCs is a key factor in explaining stability in trade relationships, mainly for developing countries where the trade flows are especially fragile. The authors also find different effects depending on the type of GVC involvement and on whether the value chain partners are advanced or developing. Originality/value - The paper contributes to the literature by extending the understanding on the factors that promote the stability of exports, including among them, involvement on GVCs (and its forms) which is one of the most relevant factors to explain recent behavior of trade.

Suggested Citation

  • Carmen Díaz-Mora & Rosario Gandoy & Belen Gonzalez-Diaz, 2018. "Strengthening the stability of exports through GVC participation," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 45(3), pages 610-637, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:jespps:jes-04-2017-0106
    DOI: 10.1108/JES-04-2017-0106
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Carmen Díaz-Mora & Rosario Gandoy & Belén González-Díaz, 2018. "Looking into global value chains: influence of foreign services on export performance," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 154(4), pages 785-814, November.
    2. Ewa Cieślik, 2020. "Cross-Sectoral Inter-Country Linkages under the Belt and Road Initiative: Chinese ICT Services Value Added Inflows to Manufacturing Exports in the New Eurasian Land Bridge Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-20, October.
    3. Ewa Cieślik, 2022. "A New Era Is Beginning in Central and Eastern Europe: Information and Communication Technology Services Exceed Manufacturing in the Global Production Chain," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(4), pages 2607-2639, December.
    4. Leticia Blázquez & Carmen Díaz-Mora & Belén González-Díaz, 2020. "The role of services content for manufacturing competitiveness: A network analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(1), pages 1-22, January.

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