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Return and volatility spillover effects between the Turkey and the Russia stock market

Author

Listed:
  • Melih Kutlu
  • Aykut Karakaya

Abstract

Purpose - This study aimed to investigate return and volatility spillover between the Borsa Istanbul (BIST) and the Moscow Stock Exchange (RTS). Design/methodology/approach - This study used generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model for volatility and the Aggregate Shock (AS) model for return and volatility spillover. The data are divided into six sub-periods. Period events take place between Turkey and Russia. Findings - BIST investors considered the return and volatility of the RTS, it is observed that Moscow Stock Exchange investors considered only the return of BIST at the full sample. It is only a return spillover from BIST to RTS and neither the return nor the volatility of the RTS is spillover to BIST in the pre-crisis period. No evidence of return and volatility spillover between the BIST and the RTS in the post-crisis period. The returns and volatility spillovers between Russia and Turkey are mutual feedback in the jet crisis period. Practical implications - Economic developments between Turkey and Russia is growing rapidly in recent years. The return and volatility analysis between the stock exchanges of these two countries is important for investment decisions. Originality/value - There are many studies in the literature about emerging markets. There are also Turkish and Russian stock exchanges in these studies. However, this study only examined return and volatility spillover analysis between the Turkish and Russian stock exchanges and prevents the results from being overlooked among other countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Melih Kutlu & Aykut Karakaya, 2020. "Return and volatility spillover effects between the Turkey and the Russia stock market," Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 37(4), pages 456-470, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:jeaspp:jeas-10-2019-0114
    DOI: 10.1108/JEAS-10-2019-0114
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