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Dynamism between selected macroeconomic determinants and electricity consumption in India

Author

Listed:
  • Rajesh Sharma
  • Pradeep Kautish

Abstract

Purpose - By disentangling the impact of positive and negative shocks of GDP, FDI and oil consumption on electricity consumption, the purpose of this paper is to investigate whether this bifurcation significantly determines the level of electricity consumption in the short run and long run. Design/methodology/approach - Using the recently developed nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) bounds approach, the study investigates the changes in the level of electricity consumption over a period of 1980–2015. The inclusion of a dummy variable for the possible structural break makes the electricity demand function more reliable. After checking the stationarity of data series, the study has employed the bounds test, which confirms the existence of the long run stability in the system. Further, using the VECM, the causality among the comprised variables has also been examined. Findings - The findings confirm that not only the positive shocks but also the negative shocks in GDP have a positive and significant impact on electricity consumption in the long run. Similarly, the increased FDI has widened the scope of electricity consumption in the region, whereas the negative shocks’ impact is found negative in the long run. In comparison to GDP and FDI, the influence of the increased oil consumption on electricity demand is found negative and significant in India, which reveals that electricity acts as a significant substitute for oil consumption in the long run. Originality/value - To the best of the literature evidences available, none of the studies in the past has examined electricity demand in an NARDL framework. The study may help in estimating the demand for electricity consumption comprehensively, as this approach captures the separate influence of favourable and unfavourable changes while determining the level of electricity consumption. This approach may be crucial for policy makers, especially in an energy importer country, such as India.

Suggested Citation

  • Rajesh Sharma & Pradeep Kautish, 2019. "Dynamism between selected macroeconomic determinants and electricity consumption in India," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 46(6), pages 805-821, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:ijsepp:ijse-11-2018-0586
    DOI: 10.1108/IJSE-11-2018-0586
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Waseem Khan & Vishal Sharma & Saghir Ahmad Ansari, 2022. "Modeling the dynamics of oil and agricultural commodity price nexus in linear and nonlinear frameworks: A case of emerging economy," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3), pages 1733-1784, August.
    2. Jiao, Zhilun & Sharma, Rajesh & Kautish, Pradeep & Hussain, Hafezali Iqbal, 2021. "Unveiling the asymmetric impact of exports, oil prices, technological innovations, and income inequality on carbon emissions in India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    3. Hlongwane, Nyiko Worship & Daw, Olebogeng David, 2022. "Electricity consumption and population growth in South Africa: A panel approach," MPRA Paper 113828, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Payab, Ahmad Haseeb & Kautish, Pradeep & Sharma, Rajesh & Siddiqui, Aaliyah & Mehta, Atul & Siddiqui, Mujahid, 2023. "Does human capital complement sustainable development goals? Evidence from leading carbon emitter countries," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    5. Hasan Murat Ertuğrul & Mustafa Tevfik Kartal & Serpil Kılıç Depren & Uğur Soytaş, 2022. "Determinants of Electricity Prices in Turkey: An Application of Machine Learning and Time Series Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-17, October.
    6. Sharma, Rajesh & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Kautish, Pradeep & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Analyzing the impact of export diversification and technological innovation on renewable energy consumption: Evidences from BRICS nations," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 1034-1045.
    7. Nyiko Worship Hlongwane & Olebogeng David Daw, 2023. "Assessing the Possibility of Medupi and Kusile Providing Enough Electricity Running at Full Capacity in South Africa," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(4), pages 28-39, July.
    8. Pham, Thu Anh Thi & Nguyen, Thong Trung & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Duc Huynh, Toan Luu, 2023. "Exchange rate pass-through: A comparative analysis of inflation targeting & non-targeting ASEAN-5 countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 158-167.
    9. Jean Gaston Tamba & Flavian Emmanuel Sapnken & Tchitchile Wilfried Emmanuel Azong & Serge Guefano & Armand Fopah Lele & Louis Monkam, 2022. "An Overview of Electricity in Cameroon: Current Status, Influential Factors and Government Actions," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(4), pages 470-481, July.
    10. Rajesh Sharma & Surendra Singh Rajpurohit, 2022. "Nexus between income inequality and consumption of renewable energy in India: a nonlinear examination," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 2337-2358, November.
    11. Kılıç Depren, Serpil & Kartal, Mustafa Tevfik & Ertuğrul, Hasan Murat & Depren, Özer, 2022. "The role of data frequency and method selection in electricity price estimation: Comparative evidence from Turkey in pre-pandemic and pandemic periods," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 217-225.
    12. Ibrahim Ayoade Adekunle & Tolulope Oyakhilome Williams & Olatunde Julius Omokanmi & Serifat Olukorede Onayemi, 2020. "The Mediating Role Of Institutions In The Remittance–Growth Relationship: Evidence From Nigeria," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 65(227), pages 7-30, October –.

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