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Mortgage debt and household vulnerability

Author

Listed:
  • M. Teresa Sánchez-Martínez
  • Jose Sanchez-Campillo
  • Dolores Moreno-Herrero

Abstract

Purpose - This paper aims to study the financial vulnerability of the Spanish households derived from their primary residence mortgage debt payments. This paper shown as the economic and financial crisis triggered after the burst of the housing bubble brought an unemployment shock and a fall in the disposable family income, which alarmingly aggravated the financial vulnerability of the mortgaged households. Consequently, the number of financially vulnerable households almost doubled. Design/methodology/approach - Econometric model of discrete election. Findings - The most vulnerable households – and therefore those with a higher risk of mortgage payment default – are those whose family head is a married and self-employed female. In contrast, in social housing the mortgaged households have been less vulnerable in the context of economic and financial crisis and unlike what would have been initially expected, higher education levels have not acted as a protective factor against households’ financial vulnerability. Originality/value - There is a great need to understand how the financial health of the mortgaged families that bought their primary residence has deteriorated in a context of significant changes in macroeconomic conditions. This need is specially pressing in a country such as Spain which is one of the OECD’s countries with a higher rate of household property and which shows a sector of highly mortgaged households.

Suggested Citation

  • M. Teresa Sánchez-Martínez & Jose Sanchez-Campillo & Dolores Moreno-Herrero, 2016. "Mortgage debt and household vulnerability," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(3), pages 400-420, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:ijhmap:v:9:y:2016:i:3:p:400-420
    DOI: 10.1108/IJHMA-07-2015-0038
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Luca Barbaglia & Sebastiano Manzan & Elisa Tosetti, 2023. "Forecasting Loan Default in Europe with Machine Learning," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(2), pages 569-596.
    2. Zagalaz Jiménez, José Ramón & Aguiar Díaz, Inmaculada, 2019. "Educational level and Internet banking," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 31-40.
    3. Aller, Carlos & Grant, Charles, 2018. "The effect of the financial crisis on default by Spanish households," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 39-52.
    4. Ryszard Kowalski & Agnieszka Strzelecka & Agnieszka Wałęga & Grzegorz Wałęga, 2023. "Do Children Matter to the Household Debt Burden?," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 44(4), pages 1007-1022, December.
    5. Grzegorz Wałęga & Agnieszka Wałęga, 2021. "Over-indebted Households in Poland: Classification Tree Analysis," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 153(2), pages 561-584, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing finance systems; Housing affordability; Housing policy; Home loan; Social housing; First-home owners; R21; G21; C50;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General

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