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Ripple effects of house prices: considering spatial correlations in geography and demography

Author

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  • Le Ma
  • Chunlu Liu

Abstract

Purpose - Studies into ripple effects have previously focused on the interconnections between house price movements across cities over space and time. These interconnections were widely investigated in previous research using vector autoregression models. However, the effects generated from spatial information could not be captured by conventional vector autoregression models. This research aimed to incorporate spatial lags into a vector autoregression model to illustrate spatial‐temporal interconnections between house price movements across the Australian capital cities. Design/methodology/approach - Geographic and demographic correlations were captured by assessing geographic distances and demographic structures between each pair of cities, respectively. Development scales of the housing market were also used to adjust spatial weights. Impulse response functions based on the estimated SpVAR model were further carried out to illustrate the ripple effects. Findings - The results confirmed spatial correlations exist in housing price dynamics in the Australian capital cities. The spatial correlations are dependent more on the geographic rather than the demographic information. Originality/value - This research investigated the spatial heterogeneity and autocorrelations of regional house prices within the context of demographic and geographic information. A spatial vector autoregression model was developed based on the demographic and geographic distance. The temporal and spatial effects on house prices in Australian capital cities were then depicted.

Suggested Citation

  • Le Ma & Chunlu Liu, 2013. "Ripple effects of house prices: considering spatial correlations in geography and demography," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 6(3), pages 284-299, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:ijhmap:v:6:y:2013:i:3:p:284-299
    DOI: 10.1108/IJHMA-05-2012-0020
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Wonseok Seo & LeeYoung Kim, 2020. "Investigating the Ripple Effect through the Relationship between Housing Markets and Residential Migration in Seoul, South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-22, February.
    2. Brzezicka, Justyna & Łaszek, Jacek & Olszewski, Krzysztof & Waszczuk, Joanna, 2019. "Analysis of the filtering process and the ripple effect on the primary and secondary housing market in Warsaw, Poland," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    3. Li Xiangfei & Han Hongli & Sun Minghan, 2020. "Localized or Regional? Urban Housing Policy Spillover in China’s Urban Agglomerations 2010–2018," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 8(4), pages 325-345, August.

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