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Evaluating the Impact of Alternatives in Oil Surplus Utilization on the Mexican Economy: An Input-Output Model Application

Author

Listed:
  • Noé Arón Fuentes

    (Departamento de Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de la Frontera Norte (COLEF), Tijuana, B.C. México.)

  • Ana Cárdenas

    (Estudiante del doctorado en Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Autónoma de Baja California (UABC), Tijuana, B.C. México.)

Abstract

The national input-output matrix can be used to estimate a set of economic multipliers, which are used to measure the effects on economic activity caused by a change in final demand (i.e. public expenditure, household consumption, investment, exports, etc.) in the short term. This article presents the multipliers of employment, household-income and production for the case of an increase in public spending resulting from oil surpluses in the year 2008. The results suggest that if we want to maximize the effect of the oil revenues, we must invest in infrastructure, in the manufacturing sector and re-invest in the energy sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Noé Arón Fuentes & Ana Cárdenas, 2010. "Evaluating the Impact of Alternatives in Oil Surplus Utilization on the Mexican Economy: An Input-Output Model Application," Economía Mexicana NUEVA ÉPOCA, CIDE, División de Economía, vol. 0(2), pages 379-399, July-Dece.
    • Handle: RePEc:emc:ecomex:v:19:y:2010:i:2:p:379-399
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    File URL: http://www.economiamexicana.cide.edu/num_anteriores/XIX-2/06.EM.NoeAronFuentes(379-399).pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    national input-output matrix; multipliers; oil revenues.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models

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