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¿Previeron las empresas mexicanas la crisis financiera de 1995-1996? Un análisis de empresas

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  • Watkins, Karen

Abstract

The following study is concerned with the anticipation of the 1995-1996 Mexican crisis. It uses data from the balance sheets of 73 private, non-financial companies. The results indicate that firms were not able to foresee the coming crisis. This conclusion is robust to using one year, three, two, and one quarters lags as the anticipation period. In addition, there is no significant difference in the outcome when considering the industry and size of firms.// Este estudio se ocupa de la previsión de la crisis mexicana de 1995-1996. Utiliza datos de los saldos de 73 compañías privadas no financieras. Los resultados indican que las empresas no pudieron prever la crisis inminente. Esta conclusión es sólida cuando se emplean retrasos de un año, tres, dos y un trimestres como periodo de la previsión. Además, no hay ninguna diferencia significativa en el resultado cuando se consideran la industria y el tamaño de las empresas.

Suggested Citation

  • Watkins, Karen, 2003. "¿Previeron las empresas mexicanas la crisis financiera de 1995-1996? Un análisis de empresas," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(277), pages 81-107, enero-mar.
    • Handle: RePEc:elt:journl:v:70:y:2003:i:277:p:81-107
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