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Demand-led growth under political constraints: a long-run model of conflict inflation

Author

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  • Guilherme Spinato Morlin
  • Riccardo Pariboni

Abstract

The disciplinary and distributive role of unemployment has long been acknowledged in economic theory and is at the heart of conflict inflation theory. In this article, we combine conflict inflation and growth in an autonomous demand-led model with endogenous distribution. In this way, we extend typical results of conflict inflation models to the long run, finding the following: (a) an inverse relation between the unemployment rate and inflation, in line with the non-accelerationist Phillips curve; (b) an inverse relation between the growth rate of autonomous demand and the unemployment rate and, for this reason; (c) a direct relation between the growth rate of autonomous demand and the wage share. The relationship described in (c) reveals the underlying conflict over the determination of growth patterns, paving the way for an analysis of the political economy of autonomous demand, and in particular, of fiscal and monetary policies. We conclude that macroeconomic policy constitutes another dimension of the conflict between classes over the division of the social product.

Suggested Citation

  • Guilherme Spinato Morlin & Riccardo Pariboni, 2024. "Demand-led growth under political constraints: a long-run model of conflict inflation," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 12(4), pages 475-498, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:elg:rokejn:v:12:y:2024:i:4:p475-498
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    Cited by:

    1. Gonzalez, Alejandro, 2024. "Bargaining power, demand growth and the decline of the labor share," OSF Preprints 78kad, Center for Open Science.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Phillips curve; Sraffian supermultiplier; demand-led growth; autonomous demand; inflation; distributive conflict;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B51 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Current Heterodox Approaches - - - Socialist; Marxian; Sraffian
    • E11 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Marxian; Sraffian; Kaleckian
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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