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Methodological influence on Brazilian deindustrialization

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  • Paulo César Morceiro

Abstract

Users of Brazilian National Accounts often use the overestimated sectoral sharedue to the financial dummy not being eliminated from sectoral GDP. This affects the level,peak, and shape of the deindustrialization series. Changes in the National Accounts systemhave also caused structural breaks in time series, making it difficult to assess the effect oftrade opening on deindustrialization. This study created series of sectoral shares in GDPfrom 1947 to 2019 to circumvent the financial dummy and discontinuities in the longtermseries. The new series is more adherent to economic cycles, captures the effect of tradeopening, and contests the over-industrialization thesis, allowing a better understanding ofthe deindustrialization process. JEL Classification: E23; L16; O14.

Suggested Citation

  • Paulo César Morceiro, 2021. "Methodological influence on Brazilian deindustrialization," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 41(4), pages 700-722.
    • Handle: RePEc:ekm:repojs:v:41:y:2021:i:4:p:700-722:id:2259
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    File URL: https://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journal/article/view/2259/2244
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Structural change; deindustrialization; trade opening; methodological changes; financial dummy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • L16 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics; Macroeconomic Industrial Structure
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology

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