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The impact of the Chinese exchange policy on foreign trade with the European Union

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  • Ana Cardoso
  • António Portugal Duarte

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to analyze the impact of the Chinese foreign exchange policy on foreign trade with the European Union. After describing the importance of the exchange rate in an open economy and some of the methodologies employed to calculate its equilibrium value, we examine whether the Chinese competitiveness is due to the existence of misalignment (undervaluation) of its exchange rate, or rather, to other sources of competitiveness. For this purpose, we use a Vector Error Correction (VEC) model to estimate a long-run exports equation. The empirical results indicate that over the past few years, Chinese exports have benefited from an ‘unfair’ competitive advantage resulting from the manipulation of its currency value. JEL Classification: C39; F10; O24.

Suggested Citation

  • Ana Cardoso & António Portugal Duarte, 2017. "The impact of the Chinese exchange policy on foreign trade with the European Union," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 37(4), pages 870-893.
    • Handle: RePEc:ekm:repojs:v:37:y:2017:i:4:p:870-893:id:164
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Singh Devesh & Gal Zoltán, 2020. "Economic Freedom and its Impact on Foreign Direct Investment: Global Overview," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 20(1), pages 73-90, March.
    2. Jun Wen & Muhammad Ahmad Usman, 2024. "An empirical investigation of the relationship between real exchange rate and innovation: Evidence from China," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 2991-3006, July.
    3. Alam, Aftab & Ma, Jingmei & Hussain, Ibrar, 2024. "China’s macroeconomic performance affects trading partners: How can their policies respond?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 448-474.
    4. Loredana Jitaru & Lorena Florentina Dumitrașciuc, 2019. "The Influence of the Depreciation of China's Domestic Currency on Trade Relations with the EU," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(1), pages 33-38, August.
    5. Katarzyna Twarowska, 2019. "Reforms of China’s exchange rate regime and the renminbi interna-tionalization," Ekonomia i Prawo, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 18(4), pages 531-556, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Competitiveness; China; European Union; foreign trade; misalignments; real exchange rate.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C39 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Other
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy

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