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A critique to the usual economic indicators of de-industrialization in Brazil

Author

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  • Ricardo Lobato Torres
  • Henrique Cavalieri

Abstract

A critique to the usual economic indicators of de-industrialization in Brazil. The debate on de-industrialization has gained special prominence in Brazil, but methodological issues concerning the economic indicators used to evaluate this process are rarely discussed. This paper presents a critical evaluation of two common indicators in the Brazilian economic literature: the share of industry in GDP and the ratio VTI/VBPI. While the first measure shows sharp fluctuations due to changes in methodology, the second appears to be very sensitive to exchange rate variations and does not capture the inter-industry differences. Thus, the results show that both indicators contain problems and may lead to misleading conclusions about the national productive structure. JEL Classification: L16; E01.

Suggested Citation

  • Ricardo Lobato Torres & Henrique Cavalieri, 2015. "A critique to the usual economic indicators of de-industrialization in Brazil," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 35(4), pages 859-877.
    • Handle: RePEc:ekm:repojs:v:35:y:2015:i:4:p:859-877:id:255
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    de-industrialization; Dutch disease; specialization;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L16 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics; Macroeconomic Industrial Structure
    • E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts

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