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Country risk endogeneity, capital flows and capital controls in Brazil

Author

Listed:
  • Flávio Vieira
  • Márcio Holland

Abstract

The main goal of the paper is to analyze the relationship between capital flows, country risk, capital controls and interest rate differential in Brazil since the mid of 90s. We know how controversial is the role and the effectiveness of capital controls during episodes of crises, and how emerging countries can be trapped in a vicious circle expressed through the behavior of two crucial variables: the country risk and the interest rate. Empirical results suggest that interest rate differential is endogenous to country risk, mainly explained when we consider the existence of a probability of default in the context of a high public debt. JEL Classification: F30; E43; E44.

Suggested Citation

  • Flávio Vieira & Márcio Holland, 2003. "Country risk endogeneity, capital flows and capital controls in Brazil," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 23(1), pages 12-38.
    • Handle: RePEc:ekm:repojs:v:23:y:2003:i:1:p:12-38:id:886
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    File URL: https://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journal/article/view/886/2083
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Flávio Vilela Vieira & Márcio Holland, 2004. "Exchange Rate Dynamics In Brazil," Anais do XXXII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 32nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 066, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    2. Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Curi, Alexandre, 2017. "Disagreement in expectations about public debt, monetary policy credibility and inflation risk premium," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 46-61.
    3. Márcio Holland, 2006. "Exchange Rate Volatility and the Fear of Floating in Brazil," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 7(2), pages 279-292.
    4. Patnaik, Ila & Shah, Ajay, 2011. "Did the Indian capital controls work as a tool of macroeconomic policy?," Working Papers 11/87, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    5. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Manoel Carlos de Castro Pires, 2005. "Liberalização da Conta de Capitais e Inflação: A Experiência Brasileira no Período Pós-Real," Discussion Papers 1121, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital flows; country-risk; capital control;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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