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Impacto del Gasto de Capital del SPNF sobre el Crecimiento Económico de Bolivia en el período 2006-2016

Author

Listed:
  • Joab Valdivia

    (Banco Central de Bolivia)

Abstract

En los últimos años, la inversión pública se dinamizó de manera considerable con la aplicación del Modelo Económico Social Comunitario Productivo (MESCP) desde 2006, permitiendo reactivar e impulsar la demanda interna, aspecto que difiere al observado en periodos anteriores. Las simulaciones de escenarios a través de un Modelo de Equilibrio General Dinámico Estocástico (MEGDE) propuesto por la investigación develan la importancia del gasto de capital en el crecimiento económico. Los resultados indican que cambios en el gasto de capital en el corto plazo impulsan de manera persistente al crecimiento económico, y tienen efectos positivos sobre el consumo y la inversión privada, descartando la existencia de un posible efecto crowding-out.

Suggested Citation

  • Joab Valdivia, 2017. "Impacto del Gasto de Capital del SPNF sobre el Crecimiento Económico de Bolivia en el período 2006-2016," Cuadernos de Investigación Económica Boliviana, Ministerio de Economía y Finanzas Públicas de Bolivia, vol. 2(1), pages 103-136, Diciembre.
    • Handle: RePEc:efp:journl:v:2:y:2017:i:1:p:103-136
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Estimación Bayesiana; Gasto Fiscal; Inversión Pública; Modelo de Equilibrio General Dinámico Estocástico (MEGDE); Política Fiscal;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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