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Predstavlja li inflacija opasnost od dugorocne stagnacijec

Author

Listed:
  • Damir Novotny

    (T&MC Group)

Abstract

Iako su postojala mišljenja da umjerena inflacija može biti korisna za ekonomski rast, empirijski dokazi, koji su se akumulirali do sredine devedesetih godina prošlog stoljeca, pokazuju da je i najniža inflacija štetna. Danas je potpuno nedvojbeno da je viša stopa inflacije povezana s nižim stopama rasta. U uvjetima visoke inflacije, a recentna istraživanja ukazuju da bi to mogle biti stope rasta cijena iznad 5% godišnje, ugrožen je ekonomski rast na srednji i dugi rok, a manjim nacionalnim ekonomijama prijeti dugorocna stagnacija. Dugotrajno razdoblje niske inflacije stvorilo je opce suglasje o tome da su centralne banke, postavljaju i same sebi kao primarni cilj održavanje makroekonomske stabilnosti i borbu protiv inflacije, vrlo uspješno kontrolirale rast cijena te da je opasnost od inflacije potpuno iskorijenjena. Snažan globalni rast cijena sirovina, nafte i hrane upozorava na to da inflacija nije nestala i da najnoviji val inflacije nije monetarni fenomen.

Suggested Citation

  • Damir Novotny, 2008. "Predstavlja li inflacija opasnost od dugorocne stagnacijec," Ekonomija Economics, Rifin d.o.o., vol. 15(2), pages 325-338.
    • Handle: RePEc:eff:ekoeco:v:15:y:2008:i:2:p:325-338
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflacija; ekonomski rast; monetarna politika; fiskalna politika;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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