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Determinants of de novo new entrant survival in the liberalized intra-European scheduled passenger airline industry

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  • Fan, Terence Ping Ching

Abstract

This paper analyzes semi-parametrically the survival odds of de novo entrants in the liberalized intra-European scheduled passenger airline industry with respect to three sets of determinants: strategic positioning, inaugural market entry and network economics. Among these determinants, a 'low-cost' strategic position does not confer survival benefits to new entrants. Entering markets with different levels of prior concentrations - which economists traditionally relate to different pricing powers - does not significantly affect the survival odds of new entrants. Entering mid-sized markets adversely affects entrant survival, while entering large, small or new markets at inception does not noticeably impact entrant survival. Network economics that corresponds to low operating costs (aircraft size) is a consistent contributor to entrant survival. In addition, new entrants based in France or Ireland are less likely to survive than others, reflecting the strong negative impact of intermodal competition and a strong, entrenched entrant.

Suggested Citation

  • Fan, Terence Ping Ching, 2009. "Determinants of de novo new entrant survival in the liberalized intra-European scheduled passenger airline industry," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 293-306, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:45:y:2009:i:2:p:293-306
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Fan, Terence Ping Ching & Tan, Alex Tai Loong & Geng, Xuesong, 2014. "Rapid capacity expansions and failure: A trap for new airline entrants?," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 176-191.
    2. Piening, J. & Ehrmann, T. & Meiseberg, B., 2013. "Competing risks for train tickets – An empirical investigation of customer behavior and performance in the railway industry," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1-16.
    3. Fan, Terence Ping Ching & Lingblad, Mats, 2016. "Thinking through the meteoric rise of Middle-East carriers from Singapore Airlines' vantage point," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 111-122.
    4. Liu, Dan & Zhang, Jiahuang & Yu, Ming-Miin, 2023. "Decomposing airline profit inefficiency in NDEA through the non-competitive Nerlovian profit inefficiency model," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    5. Terence Ping-Ching Fan & Alex Tai Loong Tan, 2015. "How Product Attributes Influence Internationalization: A Framework of Domain- and Culture-Specificity," Management International Review, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 53-76, February.

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