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The reliability of the motorway transport system

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  • Ferrari, Paolo

Abstract

This paper presents an analysis of motorway circulation under congested traffic conditions, with the aim of arriving at a measurement of the reliability of the motorway transport system. The author suggests a model of the speed process on a motorway lane under conditions of congestion, which was tested experimentally employing a great number of data collected on two motorways, varying considerably in terms of environmental and traffic conditions. It is shown that the relationships between the parameters of this process and the traffic density define in sufficiently complete fashion the behaviour of the motorway transport system under conditions of congestion. Using this speed process model, a simulation procedure was developed which permits calculation of the reliability of a traffic stream. Finally a method was determined for calculating the reliability in real time, which can be usefully employed in motorway traffic control.

Suggested Citation

  • Ferrari, Paolo, 1988. "The reliability of the motorway transport system," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 291-310, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:22:y:1988:i:4:p:291-310
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    Cited by:

    1. Guerrieri, Marco & Mauro, Raffaele, 2016. "Capacity and safety analysis of hard-shoulder running (HSR). A motorway case study," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 162-183.
    2. Castillo, Jose M. del, 2001. "Propagation of perturbations in dense traffic flow: a model and its implications," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 367-389, May.
    3. Andrea Pompigna & Raffaele Mauro, 2022. "A Statistical Simulation Model for the Analysis of the Traffic Flow Reliability and the Probabilistic Assessment of the Circulation Quality on a Freeway Segment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-21, November.

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