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Estimating choice probabilities among nested alternatives

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  • Sheffi, Yosef

Abstract

In several travel choice situations (e.g. automobile ownership level and trip frequency) the alternatives available to an individual randomly chosen from the population exhibit some internal choice-related ranking: the choice of a given alternative implies that all lower-ranked alternatives have been chosen. Such alternatives are referred to as "nested". This paper presents a model for estimating choice probabilities among nested alternatives. The model is devised from the well known logit model and uses existing logit maximum-likelihood estimation techniques (and computer packages). The approach is shown to be more attractive than the multinomial logit and linear regression models, from a theoretical point of view, yet cheaper than the multinomial probit model. The model is developed in a disaggregate, utility maximization framework. An example application, estimating probabilities of trip frequencies by elderly individuals is presented.

Suggested Citation

  • Sheffi, Yosef, 1979. "Estimating choice probabilities among nested alternatives," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 189-205, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:13:y:1979:i:3:p:189-205
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    Cited by:

    1. Bouscasse, Hélène & Joly, Iragaël & Peyhardi, Jean, 2019. "A new family of qualitative choice models: An application of reference models to travel mode choice," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 74-91.
    2. Wiktor Adamowicz & Sarah Jennings & Alison Coyne, 1989. "A Sequential Choice Alternative to the Travel Cost Model," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 37(4), pages 1305-1305, December.
    3. R.W. Vickerman, 1984. "Urban and Regional Change, Migration and Commuting — The Dynamics of Workplace, Residence and Transport Choice," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 21(1), pages 15-29, February.
    4. W C Halperin & G D Richardson & N Gale & C M Costanzo, 1984. "A Generalized Procedure for Comparing Models of Spatial Choice," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 16(10), pages 1289-1301, October.

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