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Geographic mobility of recent immigrants and urban transit demand in the U.S.: New evidence and planning implications

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  • Chakrabarti, Sandip
  • Painter, Gary

Abstract

Residential mobility rates in the U.S. have been in steady decline. Most notably, between 2005 and 2013, one-year intercity migration rate for immigrants has decreased by 0.7 percentage-points, compared to a 0.2 percentage-point decline for the U.S.-born population. Literature on urban implications of geographic mobility suggests that consideration of migration trends, or population flows, can improve urban planning, including transportation. Our research focuses on recent immigrants, a group that significantly contributes to public transit ridership in the U.S. In this study, we analyze the influence of the annual average in-migration rate of recent immigrants to various urban areas from within the country on transit ridership changes across the urban areas between 2008 and 2013. We also compare this effect with the effect of annual average in-migration rate of new immigrants to various urban areas from foreign countries. While the average effect of inflow of new foreign migrants on transit demand is suggested in the literature, distinguishing the transit demand of immigrants that are not movers and those that are movers from various locations remains unexplored.

Suggested Citation

  • Chakrabarti, Sandip & Painter, Gary, 2019. "Geographic mobility of recent immigrants and urban transit demand in the U.S.: New evidence and planning implications," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 71-82.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:120:y:2019:i:c:p:71-82
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2018.12.019
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