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Investigation of factors affecting the diffusion of mobile telephone services: An empirical analysis for Vietnam

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  • Hwang, Junseok
  • Cho, Youngsang
  • Long, Nguyen Viet

Abstract

This paper analyzes the diffusion of mobile telecommunications services in Vietnam and examines how telecommunications regulation and potential substitute/complement services affect the growth of the number of mobile telephone subscribers. Using a logistic diffusion model, it is found that fixed telephone services are a complement while data services have a negative relation to mobile telephone services in Vietnam. As for regulation, the policy of introducing competition has been found to be the most effective in influencing the adoption of mobile services. Another important result is that the estimated potential market is roughly 76% of the total population. The findings suggest that suitable regulation that guarantees competition in the mobile telecommunications market in a developing country such as Vietnam is one of the most important factors for a positive diffusion process.

Suggested Citation

  • Hwang, Junseok & Cho, Youngsang & Long, Nguyen Viet, 2009. "Investigation of factors affecting the diffusion of mobile telephone services: An empirical analysis for Vietnam," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(9), pages 534-543, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:telpol:v:33:y:2009:i:9:p:534-543
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Heidi Kaila, 2015. "Comparing the development of agricultural technology and information technology in rural Vietnam," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2015-091, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Thakur Dhakal & Dae-Eun Lim, 2020. "Understanding ICT adoption in SAARC member countries," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 67-80, April.
    3. Bacha, Radia & Gasmi, Farid & Metevier, Samantha, 2024. "Broadband adoption in Algeria and the structural determinants of its pace," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(6).
    4. Heidi Kaila, 2015. "Comparing the development of agricultural technology and information technology in rural Vietnam," WIDER Working Paper Series 091, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    5. Rządkowski Grzegorz & Głażewska Iwona & Sawińska Katarzyna, 2015. "The Gompertz Function And Its Applications In Management," Foundations of Management, Sciendo, vol. 7(1), pages 185-190, June.
    6. Ashutosh Jha & Manisha Chakrabarty & Debashis Saha, 2023. "Network Investment as Drivers of Mobile Subscription – A Firm-level Analysis," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 25(5), pages 1811-1828, October.
    7. Bacha, Radia & Gasmi, Farid, 2022. "The broadband diffusion process and its determinants in Algeria: A simultaneous estimation," TSE Working Papers 22-1309, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    8. Avila, Luz Angelica Pirir & Lee, Deok-Joo & Kim, Taegu, 2018. "Diffusion and competitive relationship of mobile telephone service in Guatemala: An empirical analysis," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 116-126.
    9. Quamrul Alam & Mohammad Abu Yusuf & Ken Coghill, 2010. "Unilateral liberalisation and WTO GATS commitments: the telecommunications sector in selected countries," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 24(1), pages 43-64, May.
    10. Gupta, Ruchita & Jain, Karuna, 2016. "Competition effect of a new mobile technology on an incumbent technology: An Indian case study," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 332-342.
    11. Rządkowski Grzegorz & Głażewska Iwona & Sawińska Katarzyna, 2014. "Logistic Function as a Tool of Planning," Foundations of Management, Sciendo, vol. 6(1), pages 57-70, June.
    12. Yamakawa, Peter & Rees, Gareth H. & Manuel Salas, José & Alva, Nikolai, 2013. "The diffusion of mobile telephones: An empirical analysis for Peru," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 594-606.
    13. Vigani,Mauro & Dudu,Hasan, 2021. "Demand Analysis of Multiple Goods and Services in Vietnam," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9803, The World Bank.
    14. Ashutosh Jha & Debashis Saha, 2022. "Mobile Broadband for Inclusive Connectivity: What Deters the High-Capacity Deployment of 4G-LTE Innovation in India?," Information Systems Frontiers, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 1305-1329, August.
    15. Jha, Ashutosh & Saha, Debashis, 2020. "“Forecasting and analysing the characteristics of 3G and 4G mobile broadband diffusion in India: A comparative evaluation of Bass, Norton-Bass, Gompertz, and logistic growth models”," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    16. Arunabha Mukhopadhyay & Kallol K. Bagchi & Godwin John Udo, 2024. "Exploring the Main Factors Affecting Mobile Phone Growth Rates in Indian States," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(2), pages 5746-5768, June.
    17. Meade, Nigel & Islam, Towhidul, 2015. "Forecasting in telecommunications and ICT—A review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1105-1126.

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