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The Nexus of climate crisis and asset liability management in frontier economies

Author

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  • Lv, Wendai
  • Mirza, Nawazish
  • Umar, Muhammad
  • Chen, Wei

Abstract

Climate change is a pressing issue that is disrupting the economic systems through financial and monetary impairment. The extent is more severe in the frontiers markets and compliance with the COP26 agenda is the only recourse for low-income economies. The banks play a critical role in such countries to finance business operations and incorporating sustainability practices in asset liability management can ensure financial resilience. In this paper, we assess if climate change has any impact on the mortgage portfolio and deposit mobilization of the banking sector. Using a comprehensive sample of 175 banks across twenty-three frontier markets and employing data between 2011 and 2021, we found that climate risk is negatively associated with mortgage exposure and deposit growth. We argue that the impact on mortgages is via physical risk while for deposit mobilization the pressure emanates from transitional factors. The results remained robust even after differentiating the banks into big and small categories suggesting that climate change is bringing in risks that will impact the financial sector without any discrimination. The paper has important implications for both transitional and physical risks related to climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Lv, Wendai & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad & Chen, Wei, 2023. "The Nexus of climate crisis and asset liability management in frontier economies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:192:y:2023:i:c:s0040162523002718
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2023.122586
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Fanyi & Ma, Wanying & Mirza, Nawazish & Altuntaş, Mehmet, 2023. "Green financing, financial uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and oil prices volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    2. Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad & Horobet, Alexandra & Boubaker, Sabri, 2024. "Effects of climate change and technological capex on credit risk cycles in the European Union," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    3. Wang, Haiyan & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad & Xie, Xin, 2023. "Climate change and blue returns: Evidence from Niche firms in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    4. Li, Yinan & Huang, Yuxin, 2023. "Enhancing resources efficiency: Studying economic development in resource-rich regions for long-term sustainability of China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    5. Pang, Deliang & Li, Kuangzhe & Tanasescu, Cristina & Kirikkaleli, Dervis, 2023. "Natural resources utilization, geopolitical risk and economic performance: A novel perspective from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    6. Xie, Xin & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad & Ji, Xiaoman, 2024. "Covid-19 and market discipline: Evidence from the banking sector in emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 612-621.
    7. Rahat, Birjees & Nguyen, Pascal, 2024. "The impact of ESG profile on Firm's valuation in emerging markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).
    8. Wang, Lei & Su, Chi Wei & Liu, Jing & Dong, Yuxing, 2024. "Sustainable development or smoke?: The role of natural resources, renewable energy, and agricultural practices in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    9. Huang, Lilong & Dong, Dongdong & Dong, Xueqin, 2023. "Natural resources extraction, financial expansion and remittances: South Asian economies perspective of sustainable development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    10. Rahat, Birjees & Nguyen, Pascal, 2023. "Does ESG performance impact credit portfolios? Evidence from lending to mineral resource firms in emerging markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    11. Shan, Shan & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad & Hasnaoui, Amir, 2023. "The nexus of sustainable development, blue financing, digitalization, and financial intermediation," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate change; Mortgages; Deposit mobilization; Physical risks; Transitional risks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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