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Structural change in Morocco: Rethinking industrial policies

Author

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  • Sahel, Wissal
  • El Abbassi, Idriss

Abstract

This article examines Morocco's structural transformation from 1960 to 2018, utilizing a longer time frame and a more detailed sectoral breakdown than previous studies. Our methodology combines the decomposition of labor productivity growth and structural decomposition analysis to assess the intensity and efficiency of sectoral shifts. Our findings indicate a significant increase in productivity from 2000 onward, primarily driven by within-sector productivity, unlike earlier decades where between-sector changes played a larger role. Since 2010, the manufacturing sector has emerged as the main driver of structural change. Additionally, both approaches highlight the overall slow pace of structural transformation in Morocco, predominantly due to the negative impact of foreign trade. In contrast, domestic demand and technological change have positively impacted sectoral growth. While sectors like automotive, aerospace, and service subsectors have shown growth potential, industries such as textiles, and agriculture remain vulnerable to external shocks and global competition.

Suggested Citation

  • Sahel, Wissal & El Abbassi, Idriss, 2025. "Structural change in Morocco: Rethinking industrial policies," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 412-426.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:streco:v:72:y:2025:i:c:p:412-426
    DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.008
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Structural change; Input–output tables and analysis; Industrial policy; Trade policy; North Africa;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • D57 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Input-Output Tables and Analysis
    • O25 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Industrial Policy
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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