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On the fallacy of the likelihood principle

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  • Akaike, Hirotugu

Abstract

By using the direct and inverse binomial experiments it is shown that there is a situation where Birnbaum's basic axiom of mathematical equivalence and the likelihood principle is a tautology. This observation disqualifies Birnbaum's proof of the likelihood principle based on the axioms of mathematical equivalence and conditionality. The implication of this disproof of Birnbaum's argument for Bayesian statistics is briefly discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Akaike, Hirotugu, 1982. "On the fallacy of the likelihood principle," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 1(2), pages 75-78, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:stapro:v:1:y:1982:i:2:p:75-78
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