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Differencing as an approximate de-trending device

Author

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  • Hart, Jeffrey D.

Abstract

Consider the model yj = [latin small letter f with hook](j/n) + [var epsilon]j, J = 1,..., n, where the yj's are observed, [latin small letter f with hook] is a smooth but unknown function, and the [var epsilon]j's are unobserved errors from a zero mean, strictly stationary process. The problem addressed is that of estimating the covariance function c(k) = E([var epsilon]0[var epsilon]k) from the observations y1,..., yn without benefit of an initial estimate of [latin small letter f with hook]. It is shown that under appropriate conditions on [latin small letter f with hook] and the error process, consistent estimators of c(k) can be constructed from second differences of the observed data. The estimators of c(k) utilize only periodogram ordinates at frequencies greater than some small positive number [delta] that tends to 0 as n --> [infinity]. Tapering the differenced data plays a crucial role in constructing an efficient estimator of c(k)

Suggested Citation

  • Hart, Jeffrey D., 1989. "Differencing as an approximate de-trending device," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 251-259, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:31:y:1989:i:2:p:251-259
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    Cited by:

    1. Freitas, Paulo S.A. & Rodrigues, Antonio J.L., 2006. "Model combination in neural-based forecasting," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 173(3), pages 801-814, September.
    2. Q. Shao, 2009. "Seasonality analysis of time series in partial linear models," Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(7), pages 827-837.
    3. Chen, Willa W. & Hurvich, Clifford M., 2003. "Estimating fractional cointegration in the presence of polynomial trends," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 117(1), pages 95-121, November.

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