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A filtered no arbitrage model for term structures from noisy data

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  • Gombani, Andrea
  • Jaschke, Stefan R.
  • Runggaldier, Wolfgang J.

Abstract

We consider an affine term structure model of interest rates, where the factors satisfy a linear diffusion equation. We assume that the information available to an agent comes from observing the yields of a finite number of traded bonds and that this information is not sufficient to reconstruct exactly the factors. We derive a method to obtain arbitrage-free prices of illiquid or non traded bonds that are compatible with the available incomplete information. The method is based on an application of the Kalman filter for linear Gaussian systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Gombani, Andrea & Jaschke, Stefan R. & Runggaldier, Wolfgang J., 2005. "A filtered no arbitrage model for term structures from noisy data," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 115(3), pages 381-400, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:115:y:2005:i:3:p:381-400
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Camilla LandÊn, 2000. "Bond pricing in a hidden Markov model of the short rate," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 4(4), pages 371-389.
    2. Babbs, Simon H. & Nowman, K. Ben, 1999. "Kalman Filtering of Generalized Vasicek Term Structure Models," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(1), pages 115-130, March.
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    7. Andrea Gombani & Wolfgang J. Runggaldier, 2001. "A Filtering Approach To Pricing In Multifactor Term Structure Models," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(02), pages 303-320.
    8. Carl Chiarella & Sara Pasquali & Wolfgang J. Runggaldier, 2001. "On Filtering in Markovian Term Structure Models," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Jiongmin Yong (ed.), Recent Developments In Mathematical Finance, chapter 12, pages 139-150, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    9. Ramaprasad Bhar & Carl Chiarella, 1997. "Interest rate futures: estimation of volatility parameters in an arbitrage-free framework," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(4), pages 181-199.
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    1. Eckhard Platen & Wolfgang Runggaldier, 2007. "A Benchmark Approach to Portfolio Optimization under Partial Information," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 14(1), pages 25-43, March.
    2. Rüdiger Frey & Wolfgang Runggaldier, 2010. "Pricing credit derivatives under incomplete information: a nonlinear-filtering approach," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 495-526, December.

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