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Do sentiment trades explain investor overconfidence around analyst recommendation revisions?

Author

Listed:
  • Kim, Karam
  • Ryu, Doojin
  • Yu, Jinyoung

Abstract

This study examines irrational stock market reactions to analyst recommendation revisions depending on investor sentiment levels prior to analyst report announcements. We construct a firm-specific sentiment indicator by extending Huang et al. (2015, Review of Financial Studies, 28, pp.791–837). Analyst recommendation revisions have more pronounced effects for downgrades, which is attributable to sentiment effects. Domestic investors tend to react less to upgrades (downgrades) news when their prior beliefs are pessimistic (optimistic), implying that they are overconfident. The domestic investors drive sentiment trades, whereas foreign investors are not biased.

Suggested Citation

  • Kim, Karam & Ryu, Doojin & Yu, Jinyoung, 2021. "Do sentiment trades explain investor overconfidence around analyst recommendation revisions?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:56:y:2021:i:c:s0275531920309843
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101376
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Doojin Ryu & Jinyoung Yu, 2022. "Sentiment‐dependent impact of funding liquidity shocks on futures market liquidity," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 61-76, January.
    2. Cheng, Rui & Frijns, Bart & Kim, Hyeongjun & Ryu, Doojin, 2024. "Effects of option incentive compensation on corporate innovation: The case of China," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(1).
    3. Ham, Hyuna & Ryu, Doojin & Webb, Robert I., 2022. "The effects of overnight events on daytime trading sessions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    4. Xiaohong Shen & Gaoshan Wang & Yue Wang & Alfred Peris, 2021. "The Influence of Research Reports on Stock Returns: The Mediating Effect of Machine-Learning-Based Investor Sentiment," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2021, pages 1-14, December.
    5. Ryu, Doojin & Yang, Heejin & Yu, Jinyoung, 2022. "Insider trading and information asymmetry: Evidence from the Korea Exchange," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PA).
    6. Seok, Sangik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2024. "Dual effects of investor sentiment and uncertainty in financial markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 300-315.
    7. Seok, Sangik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2022. "Scheduled macroeconomic news announcements and intraday market sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    8. Yofi Syarkani & Triyono Adi Tristanto, 2022. "Examining the predictors of crypto investor decision: The relationship between overconfidence, financial literacy, and attitude," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 11(6), pages 324-333, September.
    9. Kim, Karam & Ryu, Doojin, 2021. "Term structure of sentiment effect on investor trading behavior," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    10. Park, Daehyeon & Ryu, Doojin & Webb, Robert I., 2024. "Fear of missing out and market stability: A networked minority game approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 634(C).
    11. del Río, Cristina & Ferrer, Elena & López-Arceiz, Francisco J., 2024. "Analyst optimism and market sentiment: Evidence from European corporate sustainability reporters," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    12. Seok, Sang Ik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2021. "Stock Market’s responses to intraday investor sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    13. Daehyeon PARK & Doojin RYU, 2021. "Forecasting Stock Market Dynamics using Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 22-34, June.
    14. Kim, Karam & Ryu, Doojin & Yang, Heejin, 2021. "Information uncertainty, investor sentiment, and analyst reports," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    15. Huai-Chun Lo & Chia-Ying Chan, 2023. "Mean reverting in stock ratings distribution," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1065-1097, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Analyst recommendation; Behavioral finance; Domestic investors; Firm-specific sentiment; Overconfidence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets

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