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Does volume help in predicting stock returns? An analysis of the Australian market

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  • Bissoondoyal-Bheenick, Emawtee
  • Brooks, Robert D.

Abstract

This paper presents an analysis of the relationship between trading volume and stock returns in the Australian market. We test this hypothesis by using data from a sample of firms listed on the Australian stock market for a period of 5 years from January 2001 to December 2005. We explore this relationship by focusing on the level of trading volume and thin trading in the market. Our results suggest that trading volume does seem to have some predictive power for high volume firms and in certain industries of the Australian market. However, for smaller firms, trading volume does not seem to have the same predictive power to explain stock returns in Australia.

Suggested Citation

  • Bissoondoyal-Bheenick, Emawtee & Brooks, Robert D., 2010. "Does volume help in predicting stock returns? An analysis of the Australian market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 146-157, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:24:y:2010:i:2:p:146-157
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    4. Liu, Keyan & Zhou, Jianan & Dong, Dayong, 2021. "Improving stock price prediction using the long short-term memory model combined with online social networks," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    G12 G14 G15 Volume Stock market returns Binary probit;

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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