IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/rensus/v215y2025ics1364032125002552.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Growth of residential solar energy in Brazil: A system dynamics approach

Author

Listed:
  • Marcuzzo, R.
  • Silberg, T.R.
  • Uriona-Maldonado, M.

Abstract

The adoption of solar photovoltaic energy (PV) among households has grown noticeably in the past decade given technological advancements and decreases in installation costs. Despite positive developments, several barriers limit the technology from diffusing rapidly through society. Many methods have been used to investigate how these barriers affect diffusion across Brazil, but often these barriers are investigated in an isolated matter, when in fact, they are interconnected components comprising a wider system. The objective of this study is to determine how payback time fluctuates according to various policy scenarios, how this result affects adoption rates, and ultimately, solar PV diffusion in the Brazilian household sector. A system dynamics model (SDM) was developed to assess diffusion across each of the 27 Brazilian States. The SDM included a combination of economic, social, and environmental variables, such as payback time, peer effect, and carbon credit price. The SDM serves to simulate different policy scenarios and their impacts on PV uptake, energy production, payback time and carbon credit accumulation in Brazil from 2012 to 2030. The SDM serves to simulate different policy scenarios and 27 their impacts on PV uptake, energy production, payback time and carbon credit accumulation 28 in Brazil from 2012 to 2030.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcuzzo, R. & Silberg, T.R. & Uriona-Maldonado, M., 2025. "Growth of residential solar energy in Brazil: A system dynamics approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:215:y:2025:i:c:s1364032125002552
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2025.115582
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364032125002552
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.rser.2025.115582?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:215:y:2025:i:c:s1364032125002552. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/600126/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.