IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v257y2025ipbs0951832025000791.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Investigation of ship collision accident risk factors using BP-DEMATEL method based on HFACS-SCA

Author

Listed:
  • Guo, Mingyang
  • Chen, Miao
  • Yuan, Lihao
  • Zhang, Zhihui
  • Lv, Jia
  • Cai, Zhiyong

Abstract

This paper proposes an objective analysis method based on historical data to comprehensively analyze the causal relationships and importance ranking of various risk factors in ship collision accidents. Firstly, 343 ship collision accident reports were investigated, and a HFACS-SCA model for analyzing risk factors in ship collisions was proposed based on the HFACS. Subsequently, Apriori and entropy methods were employed to analyze the data and obtain the weights of each risk factor. Finally, the BP-DEMATEL method was introduced to establish a quantitative evaluation system, resulting in the analysis of risk factors in collision accidents and the proposal of preventive measures. The results indicate that organizational factors are the main causal factors, while unsafe acts are the main effect factors in the main layers of HFACS-SCA. Among all risk factors, "Over speed" and "Safety management system defects are identified as significant causes of accidents. The method proposed in this paper does not require expert judgment and obtains more objective and realistic results through historical data analysis. The findings of this study could assist relevant researchers in formulating preventive measures for ship collisions and enhancing the level of ship safety management.

Suggested Citation

  • Guo, Mingyang & Chen, Miao & Yuan, Lihao & Zhang, Zhihui & Lv, Jia & Cai, Zhiyong, 2025. "Investigation of ship collision accident risk factors using BP-DEMATEL method based on HFACS-SCA," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 257(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:257:y:2025:i:pb:s0951832025000791
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2025.110875
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832025000791
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2025.110875?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:257:y:2025:i:pb:s0951832025000791. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.